Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000030 0.000033 0.000035 0.000038 0.000042 0.000045 0.000050
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000029 0.000032 0.000037 0.000042 0.000048 0.000055
2025-12-21 0.000022 0.000026 0.000030 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000059
2025-12-28 0.000020 0.000024 0.000028 0.000034 0.000041 0.000050 0.000061
2026-01-04 0.000018 0.000022 0.000027 0.000033 0.000040 0.000050 0.000063
2026-01-11 0.000017 0.000021 0.000026 0.000032 0.000041 0.000052 0.000067
2026-01-18 0.000017 0.000021 0.000026 0.000033 0.000043 0.000055 0.000073
2026-01-25 0.000018 0.000023 0.000030 0.000039 0.000052 0.000069 0.000094
2026-02-01 0.000017 0.000022 0.000028 0.000037 0.000050 0.000068 0.000095
2026-02-08 0.000016 0.000020 0.000027 0.000036 0.000049 0.000067 0.000096
2026-02-15 0.000015 0.000020 0.000026 0.000035 0.000049 0.000068 0.000099
2026-02-22 0.000014 0.000019 0.000025 0.000034 0.000048 0.000068 0.000101
2026-03-01 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000033 0.000047 0.000068 0.000102
2026-03-08 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031 0.000046 0.000067 0.000104
2026-03-15 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000030 0.000045 0.000067 0.000106
2026-03-22 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000029 0.000044 0.000067 0.000107
2026-03-29 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000043 0.000066 0.000108
2026-04-05 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000043 0.000067 0.000113
2026-04-12 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000045 0.000072 0.000123
2026-04-19 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000033 0.000054 0.000090 0.000160
2026-04-26 0.000009 0.000014 0.000020 0.000032 0.000052 0.000088 0.000160
2026-05-03 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000031 0.000051 0.000087 0.000160
2026-05-10 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000030 0.000051 0.000088 0.000165